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Why Indian Wireless Userbase Bound To Grow In High Single Digit ?


Domestic and Global analyst firm should not be optimistic about Indian Wireless Userbase post user growth data release by TRAI for Sept 2016.

One must be thinking that I am talking absurd but my forecast will come true.
Post launch of Reliance Jio service, jio acquired around 16 million userbase and around 80 to 85 % userbase are existing wireless userbase. Around 15% of the users are carrying or buying new devices to get their 4G service enabled. We also know that more than 70% of the Indian Smartphone comes out with double SIM.

Interestingly, Reliance jio made it mandatory to place reliance jio SIM on device slot 1 which will make Reliance services as primary service providers. The end users are also not surrendering their existing wireless connection with existing incumbent operator and that will lead to higher number of userbase.

We all know that Indian wireless subscribers Base is kissing billion mark and post Sept 2016 wireless userbase data release by TRAI, the total number of connection will show encouraging growth. In my point of view, post field channel check, we call such increase in userbase as virtual. We all should expect the single high digit growth in wireless userbase which is nothing but virtual.



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About Devendra Prasad

20 years plus industry veteran of domestic and international ICT domain with the expertise in Business, Technology, Strategy and Analysis. Specializes in forecasting impact analysis, trends and recommendations for Investments, Technology and Regulations.
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